Cycles are a tool and should not be used to the exclusion of other tools. There is always the possibility (high probability long term) that the data will be misinterpreted or a relevant fact over looked. So use cycles to check your analysis, not as the only reason to make a decision. Interpretation is the opinion of the author and may be incorrect and should be viewed in that light.
Friday, December 28, 2012
silver
Silver looks good for a trade (long) thru mid-Jan for 8-10%.... Here is a visual:
UPDATE: http://www.safehaven.com/article/28215/silver-knocks-at-cited-window-of-opportunity-in-4-sessions Seems to agree with my analysis.
Inlet, thanks for the chart, and producing it so quickly. Would you agree that after the peak in mid Jan, there will likely be another low and LT buying opportunity around the end of February? Also did you happen to find a longer term cycle than 7.5 month?
I am sure there ar longer cycles (I suspect longer cycles at 15 months or 2 x 7.5 and 45 months 3 x 15). Of course these are a bit long for swing trading.
The 22 TD (Trading Days) cycle tops mid January and 34 TD cycle the end of January. Much of the upside should be in place by mid-January but it could go on up the last 2 weeks of January (depends on how well it is acting in mid-January as to whether you hold into the first of Feb). I suspect silver will be weak at least 17 TDs in February (3+ weeks).
Thanks for all your work Inlet. Your charts provide a great visual. I'm hoping silver could drop just a bit more yet. We will see.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.safehaven.com/article/28215/silver-knocks-at-cited-window-of-opportunity-in-4-sessions
ReplyDeleteInlet, thanks for the chart, and producing it so quickly. Would you agree that after the peak in mid Jan, there will likely be another low and LT buying opportunity around the end of February? Also did you happen to find a longer term cycle than 7.5 month?
ReplyDeleteI am sure there ar longer cycles (I suspect longer cycles at 15 months or 2 x 7.5 and 45 months 3 x 15). Of course these are a bit long for swing trading.
ReplyDeleteThe 22 TD (Trading Days) cycle tops mid January and 34 TD cycle the end of January. Much of the upside should be in place by mid-January but it could go on up the last 2 weeks of January (depends on how well it is acting in mid-January as to whether you hold into the first of Feb). I suspect silver will be weak at least 17 TDs in February (3+ weeks).