Tuesday, July 28, 2015

August 2015 outlook and beyond

The first week of August should see the nested bottom of the Wall (20 weeks, 4.5 months) cycle, 10 week, 5 week, and 2.5 week cycles.  The next 20 week cycle bottom of nested bottoms will be late December.  But unlike the bottom forming now this next bottom will have 2 longer cycles also bottoming (Kitchin cycle - 3.5 years and 1/3 Kitchin cycle - 13.5 months) and expect a more substantial move down.

It is likely this will limit the upside of the 4 cycles (Wall, 10 week. 5 week. 2.5 week ) we look at for swing trading will have less upside effect than one normally sees.

The amplitude of up moves should give a hint as to how much downside we see by year end.

Good luck


  1. I think we're about to see the upside now as it usually comes in the .618 or .666 area of a cycle.

  2. Understand, the most downside usually occurs in the final 20-30% of the cycle's timeline.