Saturday, August 2, 2014

Cycle lengths

I have noted some interest in cycle lengths.  Here is a summary (other sources may list other cycles):


Cycles according to WD Gann:

Thus the 30 year time cycle will be divided into important probable turning points as follows:

1/8 - 3.75 years
1/4 - 7.5 years
1/3 - 10 years and (3/8, 1/2....) so on .

The further divisions of time and price are derived from this master chart as follows:
144*144 = 20,736.

The important divisions are:
Div. Days   Weeks  Months Years
1   20,736  2,962   682    56.8
1/2 10,368  1,481   341    28.4
1/4  5,184    740   170    14.2
1/8  2,592    370    85     7.1
1/16 1,296    185    43     3.55
1/32   648     93    21     1.77
1/64   324     46    11      .89
 

GL traders

6 comments:

  1. Thank you for all these great posts on cycles. WD Gann was without any doubt the most outstanding trader that ever lived.

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  2. The first table is from JM Hurst's work....

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  3. Though I believe his Square of 9 produces much more impressive timing turning points

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  4. Gann has an impressive volume of work, I only tried to highlight some of his work regarding cycle lengths.

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  5. I have calculated cycle lengths for the DJIA beginning in 1896 to current. Here is a list along with a parameter "Amplitude" or A which varies from -1 to 1 and is a measure of strength and direction anchored to the base date.

    A Days Years
    0.61 48808 133.6
    0.58 16349 44.8
    0.54 10776 29.5
    -0.35 9858 27.0
    0.19 5315 14.6
    -0.11 4377 12.0 [length of solar cycle]
    0.27 3660 10.0
    -0.15 3416 9.4
    0.17 3177 8.7 [The "Pi" cycle of Martin Armstrong]
    -0.09 2819 7.7
    -0.07 2599 7.1
    -0.07 2191 6.0
    -0.06 1950 5.3
    -0.06 1820 5.0
    -0.04 1453 4.0 ["election cycle"]
    0.08 1226 3.4

    Everything Cycle Dawg says at the top of the page is, in the words of Frank Zappa, "very very true!"

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  6. Paolo - always look forward to your model updates

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