The longer cycle is well past its mid-point and has become right translated. This should lead to substantial downside pressure during July. This week you have 2 cycles down, one near expected top by end of week and the shortest cycle up. This should give some downside during the 4 trading days this week. probably around 1% for the week.
Cycles are a tool and should not be used to the exclusion of other tools. There is always the possibility (high probability long term) that the data will be misinterpreted or a relevant fact over looked. So use cycles to check your analysis, not as the only reason to make a decision. Interpretation is the opinion of the author and may be incorrect and should be viewed in that light.
Saturday, June 28, 2014
June 30, 2014 weekly outlook
The longer cycle is well past its mid-point and has become right translated. This should lead to substantial downside pressure during July. This week you have 2 cycles down, one near expected top by end of week and the shortest cycle up. This should give some downside during the 4 trading days this week. probably around 1% for the week.
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1% down.. to around sp'1940...and then up again into mid July..1970, 80s..or beyond.
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Despite the cycles, primary trend remains 100% bullish.
Bears need a July close <1900. Even that looks...difficult.
You may be right, but as noted the stocks have already passed the mid-point top and are now right translated for the longer cycle. Usually that increases the odds of a 2-3 month pullback. Will post a second half of the year outlook looking at the longer medium length cycles soon.
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