Tuesday, May 28, 2013

May 24 market update

As I explained to you over the week end we should expect short (choppy) moves up and down since we were in a time period where we expected longer cycles to top. 

Specifically - the Wall cycle (20 weeks/102 days/4.5 months) should top.  The Wall cycle bottomed Nov 19, 2012 and again 4.5 months later (Nov-Mar 4.5 months = 1 cycle).  Then half a Wall Cycle to a top is 2 months 1 week  (which is early June). Then there is the 1/3 Kitchin cycle which is 13 months long  (bottom Nov 19 + 6.5 months to the top is early June).

With these 2 longer cycles topping (flattening) the shorter cycles have more influence.  This is what we are seeing as we get short (time periods) moves up and down,  This is the movement I told you to watch for.  I also told you to watch indicators like short term RSI for direction changes (short term trades).  Here is what I am seeing:


No change - short choppy moves (up, down, up, down) - EOD:


Wed May 29 - Market selling down after an up Tue:


 

The market continues short choppy moves up/down.....

EOD May 30  - choppy up/down continues ( as top is formed in my opinion):


May 31 - Market fulfilled down as projected.  (and a point or two more)....

6 comments:

  1. So far today is much as shown on chart....

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  2. May 29 - Down big early and recovered about 50% by the close, market continues choppy up/down. Dow set a new closing high yesterday. Today utilities are in correction mode (down 10% plus since high in April). Zany market.

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  3. Gann Square of nine (SPX) - GANN Recommendation:

    Buy at / above: 1650.39 Targets: 1659.73 - 1669.93 - 1680.15 - 1690.41
    Stop loss : 1640.25

    Sell at / below: 1640.25 Targets: 1630.95 - 1620.87 - 1610.82 - 1600.8
    Stop loss : 1650.39

    ReplyDelete
  4. Hi Inlet are those prices the S&P cash price or the futures price?

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  5. Based on real closing price. Google "Gann square of 9" for additional info

    ReplyDelete
  6. http://www.stockmaniacs.net/gann.html

    GANN Recommendation:
    Buy at / above: 1660.56 Targets: 1669.93 - 1680.15 - 1690.41 - 1700.71
    Stop loss : 1650.39
    Sell at / below: 1650.39 Targets: 1641.07 - 1630.95 - 1620.87 - 1610.82
    Stop loss : 1660.56

    ReplyDelete