I said last week: "Appears though the market should have an upward bias in the coming week.
". That proved to be the case.
Coming week we see the 4 1/2 month (20 week cycle) turning down as the 5 and 10 week cycles move higher. This will prevent a run away to the upside. Expect sideways action with possible small/moderate gains for the week.
GL traders.
Cycles are a tool and should not be used to the exclusion of other tools. There is always the possibility (high probability long term) that the data will be misinterpreted or a relevant fact over looked. So use cycles to check your analysis, not as the only reason to make a decision. Interpretation is the opinion of the author and may be incorrect and should be viewed in that light.
Saturday, January 28, 2017
Saturday, January 21, 2017
Weekly outlook for Jan 23, 2017
I said last week - "Two shorter cycles bottoming during the week". From the current chart appears those 2 shorter cycles are definitely up. Not sure the "M" pattern will develop....
WARNING: One thing that always screws with the timing of tops and bottoms during this time (Nov through mid January) is the multiple days the market is closed due to holidays (Thanksgiving - 1.5 days, Christmas - 1 day, New Years - 1 day and MLK day. A total of 4.5 days market is closed in about 1.5 months). So be aware of the potential compression of market days in a cycle during this time of year.
Appears though the market should have an upward bias in the coming week.
GL traders
Update - gold/silver index:
Hitting resistance as 7 week cycle tops (should bottom 3rd week of February as 3.5 month cycle tops).
WARNING: One thing that always screws with the timing of tops and bottoms during this time (Nov through mid January) is the multiple days the market is closed due to holidays (Thanksgiving - 1.5 days, Christmas - 1 day, New Years - 1 day and MLK day. A total of 4.5 days market is closed in about 1.5 months). So be aware of the potential compression of market days in a cycle during this time of year.
Appears though the market should have an upward bias in the coming week.
GL traders
Update - gold/silver index:
Hitting resistance as 7 week cycle tops (should bottom 3rd week of February as 3.5 month cycle tops).
Sunday, January 15, 2017
Jan 16, 2017 weekly outlook
Two shorter cycles bottoming during the week (an "M" formation?). Nothing is for certain and patterns are rarely perfect, but if the pattern develops as expected the coming week should fall as the pattern develops.
Bottoms may not match actual data and require some adjustments....
GL traders
Update Jan 18 (see comment on Hurst signal):
Bottoms may not match actual data and require some adjustments....
GL traders
Update Jan 18 (see comment on Hurst signal):
Saturday, January 7, 2017
Jan 9, 2017 weekly outlook
Looking at last week, you should have bought Tuesday. The market is whipsawing traders (and I missed that call). Chartists call the recent activity a mid-cycle move down. This usually gives us an "M" formation and it appears we have the first 3/4 of that formation.
If that formation completes then the market will be down in the coming week. I believe we have better than a 50% chance the week is down.
GL traders
Update:
Update Jan 12:
update Jan 13:
If that formation completes then the market will be down in the coming week. I believe we have better than a 50% chance the week is down.
GL traders
Update:
Update Jan 12:
update Jan 13:
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