Tuesday, July 2, 2013

Cycles II

Armstrong Economics (Martin Armstrong)
His economic confidence model projects a peak in confidence in August 2013, a bottom in September 2014, and another peak in October 2015. The decline into January 2020 should be severe. He expects a world-wide crash and contraction in economies from 2015 - 2020.

Cycles per Charles Hugh Smith
He discusses four long-term cycles that bottom in the 2010 - 2020 period. They are: Credit expansion/contraction cycle, Price inflation/wage cycle, Generational cycle, and Peak oil extraction cycle.

Harry Dent - Demographics
Stock prices should drop, on average, for the balance of this decade, perhaps as low as 3,300 on the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Demographic cycles in the United States (and elsewhere) indicate a contraction in real terms for most of this decade.

Stay tuned - more later

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