Is APPL ready to top?

APPL has said they expect margins to shrink.  That can negatively affect the stock.  So how does APPL look from a cycle perspective.  It has been trending up since the Mar 09 bottom.  That is almost 20 months ago, so we could have a 3.39 year top Nov 19 (20.34 months)? 

Here is the shorter term outlook: