Swing Trade cycles

Cycles are a tool and should not be used to the exclusion of other tools. There is always the possibility (high probability long term) that the data will be misinterpreted or a relevant fact over looked. So use cycles to check your analysis, not as the only reason to make a decision. Interpretation is the opinion of the author and may be incorrect and should be viewed in that light.

Sunday, May 31, 2015

June 1, 2015 weekly outlook

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cycle alignment suggests market will see a down side bias the first 3-4 days of the week and a possible turn by week's end. The ma...
8 comments:
Friday, May 22, 2015

May 25, 2015 weekly outlook

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Monday unchanged.... a holiday.   Long cycle (Wall) topped and is now down.   The shorter cycle (2.5 week - 12 TDs) is down.  the 5 week cyc...
3 comments:
Saturday, May 16, 2015

May 18, 2015 weekly outlook

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The past week SP500 had closing highs Thursday and Friday.  DJIA set ATHs on Thursday (but not closing highs).  The Naz failed to break its ...
2 comments:
Friday, May 8, 2015

May 11, 2015 weekly outlook

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Past week followed script, but Friday was a bit stronger than expected.  In the coming week the 3 shorter cycles are up.  The longer Wall cy...
2 comments:
Friday, May 1, 2015

May 4, 2015 weekly outlook

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The week just ended was mostly sideways with volatility (1-2%) up and down.  This was much as I posted based on conflicted cycles and indica...
4 comments:
Sunday, April 26, 2015

april 27, 2015 weekly outlook

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The outlook for the week is somewhat unclear, but we will give it a shot.  The longer 20 week cycle is up, while the half cycle (10 week) is...
3 comments:
Saturday, April 18, 2015

Apr 20, 2015 weekly outlook

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Prior week ended on a down day.  Looks like any move down will be fairly short. The 2 shorter cycles should bottom by mid week and turn up. ...
1 comment:
Saturday, April 11, 2015

Apr 13, 2015 weekly outlook

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The Wall cycle is up providing some upside push. The 24TD cycle is also up providing some upside push (as well). The 12TD cycle should top (...
7 comments:
Friday, April 3, 2015

Apr 6, 2015 weekly outlook

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This past week it appears that the 12TD cycle probably topped early giving us a left translated top.  What does this tell us?  Usually a lef...
Saturday, March 28, 2015

Mar 30, 2015 weekly outlook

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This is the point within cycles that it gets more difficult to call market movements as the bottom nest has completed and you have shorter c...
4 comments:
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I have long been a proponent of TA. I have looked at a lot of different methods. In the 70s I maintained about 50 P&F charts manually (pre Web). Some TA approaches work better than others. In the end I decided that cycles were as good as any, much simplier than most to use and required less time to do. You may have your own TA and I encourage you to use it and only use my post/opinions as a check on your TA.
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