Swing Trade cycles

Cycles are a tool and should not be used to the exclusion of other tools. There is always the possibility (high probability long term) that the data will be misinterpreted or a relevant fact over looked. So use cycles to check your analysis, not as the only reason to make a decision. Interpretation is the opinion of the author and may be incorrect and should be viewed in that light.

Wednesday, August 28, 2013

aug 28, 2013 outlook

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Appears we should be at a cycle bottom for shorter cycles, so we should see some upside over the next couple of weeks.  Will we retest old h...
6 comments:
Sunday, August 25, 2013

aug 25, 2013 - outlook

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Appears a short term bottom was set and I would expect an attempt to rally next week.  Then early in Sept a short pullback and a rally into ...
2 comments:
Saturday, August 24, 2013

Aug 24, 2013 - Gold cycles

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There is never just one cycle, but multiple cycles at any given point in time.  Sometimes though cycles align so that multiple cycles bottom...
Sunday, August 18, 2013

Aug 19, 2013 outlook

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Had opined we might see a short term trend change last week.  We may have seen a bottom Friday (OPEX expiration) or early this week.  Time w...
5 comments:
Monday, August 12, 2013

Aug 13, 2013 update

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 Jim Chanos notes that more stocks are trading above three times book value today than at the 2000 market peak......  But over valuations c...
5 comments:
Tuesday, August 6, 2013

aug 06, 2013 update

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Finally we may be getting a short term trend change.  I'll reserve opinion on whether this results in a longer term change.  We know we ...
Wednesday, July 31, 2013

Aug 2013 outlook

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Got some minor weakness early in July (less than expected) and then up, up and away last 3 weeks of July.  Market less weak than I expected ...
Sunday, July 28, 2013

Outlook week of Jul 29, 2013

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The 1/3 Kitchin cycle bottomed in Mid November and is 13.5 months long which implies a top in late May or early June.  So this cycle is now ...
2 comments:
Sunday, July 21, 2013

July 22, 2013 weekly outlook

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I had opined we would see some downside in July, but stated I felt it would be moderate and not a major down turn as many seemed to expect. ...
Saturday, July 13, 2013

Outlook for week of July 15, 2013

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We now have multiple signals aligned and telling us to sell.  The envelop upper lines crossing (sell);  the quarter Wall cycle (about 23 day...
4 comments:
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Old as dirt

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I have long been a proponent of TA. I have looked at a lot of different methods. In the 70s I maintained about 50 P&F charts manually (pre Web). Some TA approaches work better than others. In the end I decided that cycles were as good as any, much simplier than most to use and required less time to do. You may have your own TA and I encourage you to use it and only use my post/opinions as a check on your TA.
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