Swing Trade cycles

Cycles are a tool and should not be used to the exclusion of other tools. There is always the possibility (high probability long term) that the data will be misinterpreted or a relevant fact over looked. So use cycles to check your analysis, not as the only reason to make a decision. Interpretation is the opinion of the author and may be incorrect and should be viewed in that light.

Friday, March 2, 2012

03-02-2012 recession ahead

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I have noticed that recessions generally start when the economic numbers are  at highs.  Many people tend to project today's numbers int...
2 comments:

03-02-2012 outlook

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I believe the 20 week Wall cycle has topped.  We could set a marginal new high today, but I believe the odds do not favor that outcome.  Tha...
3 comments:
Tuesday, February 28, 2012

Mar 2012 outlook

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It appears the longer 20 week Wall cycle should top Mar 1.  At the same time you have shorter cycles that have just bottomed .  So we start ...
Monday, February 27, 2012

March 2012 spiral dates

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http://spiraldates.com/2012/charts/scores_0312.png

02-27-2012 week ahead

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This year so far reminds one of the start of 2011 when QE2 and excess liquidity by the FED was supporting stock prices.  The Fed claims ther...
Thursday, February 23, 2012

02-23-2012 Is APPL ready to top?

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AAPL has had a heck of  a run last 3 months.  Today was the investor conference.  No dividend announced.  Pretty ho-hum event.  So I looked ...
Tuesday, February 21, 2012

02-21-2012 update and comments

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The 20 week cycle should top this week.  It may have topped today?  Let's see how tomorrow looks.  When it tops we will have the 22TD cy...
2 comments:
Thursday, February 16, 2012

02-17-2012 outlook and comments

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I have tried to give you sufficient advance warning as to what I feel will be a top.  So far this week is playing out much as expected with ...
2 comments:
Tuesday, February 14, 2012

02-15-2012 outlook and comments

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In order to top (and turn down) it seems common sense - money has to quit flowing into stocks and turn down.  Can you agree with that?  So w...
2 comments:

02-14-2012 outlook and comments

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The week started out as expected.  The 22TD cycle trying to move down, but the 20 week (Wall) cycle still has  2-3 weeks of upside left.  Wh...
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I have long been a proponent of TA. I have looked at a lot of different methods. In the 70s I maintained about 50 P&F charts manually (pre Web). Some TA approaches work better than others. In the end I decided that cycles were as good as any, much simplier than most to use and required less time to do. You may have your own TA and I encourage you to use it and only use my post/opinions as a check on your TA.
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