Swing Trade cycles

Cycles are a tool and should not be used to the exclusion of other tools. There is always the possibility (high probability long term) that the data will be misinterpreted or a relevant fact over looked. So use cycles to check your analysis, not as the only reason to make a decision. Interpretation is the opinion of the author and may be incorrect and should be viewed in that light.

Monday, January 30, 2012

VIX trend change signal - 01-30-2012

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Several days ago the VIX declined more than 47.5% from its Nov 1 high setting the conditions for a trend change.  As confirmation we needed ...

feb 2012 spiral dates calendar

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http://spiraldates.com/2012/charts/scores_0212.png
Thursday, January 26, 2012

01-26-2012 comments

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The Fed spoke yesterday and the message seems clear - things are not great and they don't see much improvement between now and 2014.  So...
6 comments:
Wednesday, January 25, 2012

01-25-2012 comments

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Market is showing some weakness.  This was expected (but expected last week).  Still it is a drip, drip, drip type of weakness.  Seems earni...
Tuesday, January 24, 2012

01-24-2012 comment

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It appears the short 17-18 TD cycle in December was not a true cycle inversion, but a transition to a new dominant cycle (34TD to 45TD).  If...
Thursday, January 19, 2012

01-20-2012 outlook

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So far we have had many of the major financial/banks report.  Seems to me that the results were very mixed.  WFC and a couple of larger regi...

01-19-2012 outlook

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We should be at or very near the top.  There is a FIB level at 1310.33 which may well mark the top.  The 35TD cycle DPO (amplitude) is close...
Tuesday, January 17, 2012

01-18-2012 outlook

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I have been searching for an explanation of the data in terms of cycles for weeks now.  I was looking at David Knox Barker's recent depi...
3 comments:
Monday, January 16, 2012

the week of Jan 17 2012

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I wish I could get a clearer reading on what is happening in the market.  At this time though I find no cycle combinations that seem to expl...
2 comments:

Spiral dates top

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Spiral dates says Jan 14 ideally will mark a top. http://spiraldates.com/2012/charts/sp500_010612A.png
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Old as dirt

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I have long been a proponent of TA. I have looked at a lot of different methods. In the 70s I maintained about 50 P&F charts manually (pre Web). Some TA approaches work better than others. In the end I decided that cycles were as good as any, much simplier than most to use and required less time to do. You may have your own TA and I encourage you to use it and only use my post/opinions as a check on your TA.
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