Swing Trade cycles

Cycles are a tool and should not be used to the exclusion of other tools. There is always the possibility (high probability long term) that the data will be misinterpreted or a relevant fact over looked. So use cycles to check your analysis, not as the only reason to make a decision. Interpretation is the opinion of the author and may be incorrect and should be viewed in that light.

Friday, September 30, 2011

10-2011 outlook for October

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According to Droke the 6 year cycle tops in October and we should see impact on the market.  The Kitchin cycle (42 months - also known as th...
5 comments:
Thursday, September 29, 2011

09-30-2011

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We finished green on the DOW and S&P (red NAZ) so my call for a green day was partially right.  Job #s a bit better than expectations an...
3 comments:
Wednesday, September 28, 2011

09-29-2011 outlook

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Today was red as expected.    Thought we would see the low earlier than the close with some bounce by the close.  Still we got the general d...
1 comment:
Tuesday, September 27, 2011

09-28-2011 outlook

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Today closed green as expected.  The run up (as always) exceeded expectations.  The expected pullback came the last hour (I had thought it m...
1 comment:

09-27-2011 outlook

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As expected the market had an upside bias.  For most of the day the market was mixed/flat (Dow, S&P up, NAZ and Russell down).  The surg...
8 comments:
Sunday, September 25, 2011

09-26-2011 outlook

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Last week we had a good week calling the market turns.  Maybe too conservative on out downside projections, but got the direction right.  So...
3 comments:
Saturday, September 24, 2011

09-24 GLD

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Seems to be a lot of interest in the PMs (gold, silver) with the $100 decline in gold.  I believe the CME just increased margins (again)... ...
3 comments:
Friday, September 23, 2011

October 2011 Spiral calendar

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http://spiraldates.com/2011/charts/scores_1011.png October spiral calendar dates for US stocks show three turn dates on the 8th (a Saturda...

09-23 latest article by David Knox Barker on long wave cycle

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Global leaders are in shock at the specter of a sovereign debt default that is shaking the global financial system to its core. The hopes pi...
Thursday, September 22, 2011

09-23-2011

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We were down for the day on 09-22 and down hard.  But what does tomorrow bring?  It appears to me the 11.2TD cycle should bottom tomorrow by...
6 comments:
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I have long been a proponent of TA. I have looked at a lot of different methods. In the 70s I maintained about 50 P&F charts manually (pre Web). Some TA approaches work better than others. In the end I decided that cycles were as good as any, much simplier than most to use and required less time to do. You may have your own TA and I encourage you to use it and only use my post/opinions as a check on your TA.
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