Swing Trade cycles

Cycles are a tool and should not be used to the exclusion of other tools. There is always the possibility (high probability long term) that the data will be misinterpreted or a relevant fact over looked. So use cycles to check your analysis, not as the only reason to make a decision. Interpretation is the opinion of the author and may be incorrect and should be viewed in that light.

Wednesday, November 10, 2010

11-10 CSCO cycle analysis

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CSCO reported - earnings looked OK.  As usual Chambers provided very conserative/reserved guidance.  AH CSCO sold down.  So what do the next...
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Tuesday, November 9, 2010

11-09 mid week cycles update

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As we indicated on the weekend with the 5.5 day cycle turning down on Monday we might get a pullback.  We actually expected a green open Mon...
Monday, November 8, 2010

Cycles - looking back Part I

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Do cycles work?  That is a question you need to ask and answer for yourself.  Now at times I will miss or misinterpret something.  I have be...
Sunday, November 7, 2010

Using the VIX for trend change signals

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Many follow the VIX for potential trend changes.  Often they use Bollinger Bands (2 std deviations) to track extreme moves.  2 standard devi...
Saturday, November 6, 2010

11-07 cycles weekend update

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Monday by around 12:00-1:00 pm we should have a 5.5 day cycle turn down.  This (along with one other shorter cycle down) may give us a pullb...
Wednesday, November 3, 2010

Individual stocks

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I generally do not reccomend specific stocks.  I have charted a few based on requests (INTC, NUE, BUCY, OIL) and offered comments, but I ass...

11-3 mid week update cycles

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Not much has changed since the weekend.  Sure we had an election.  Sure the Fed announced QE.  Yet, not much difference in the market.  The ...
Tuesday, November 2, 2010

What could change the trend/sentiment (cycle)?

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I have done the analysis.  I have an opinion on what the market will do.  So I ask myself - what are the catalysts that will cause the marke...
Monday, November 1, 2010

Cycles - another's views

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Here is a current article on cycles:  http://www.safehaven.com/article/18778/larger-uptrend-firm-into-2011-minor-top-set-for-mid-november ...
Sunday, October 31, 2010

Oil short cycles

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I have used the Ipath ETF OIL as a proxy for oil to show the short term cycles.  It appears oil should have a short term bottomsoon (within ...
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I have long been a proponent of TA. I have looked at a lot of different methods. In the 70s I maintained about 50 P&F charts manually (pre Web). Some TA approaches work better than others. In the end I decided that cycles were as good as any, much simplier than most to use and required less time to do. You may have your own TA and I encourage you to use it and only use my post/opinions as a check on your TA.
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