tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7842515298666372288.post6244483725577580205..comments2023-11-10T02:06:14.989-08:00Comments on Swing Trade cycles: 12-10 The long term outlook - part IIInlethttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03736266762277491275noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7842515298666372288.post-15577055164565344822011-12-11T10:44:19.007-08:002011-12-11T10:44:19.007-08:00Tom -
Good question. As I explained in Part I - ...Tom -<br /><br />Good question. As I explained in Part I - FED/government action may delay the bottoming of these cycles. I said "Fed and government policy (see Japan reference above) may have delayed and elongated the the economic cleansing, but it has not stopped it.". Many analysts claim without this interference that we would be bottoming by now (1982+30 = 2012) and not over the next 2 years.<br /><br />In other words kicking the can down the road may have an impact, but it does not alter the eventual outcome.Inlethttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03736266762277491275noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7842515298666372288.post-12332231930842649602011-12-11T09:17:15.586-08:002011-12-11T09:17:15.586-08:00Terrific post! By the way I staring reading Hurst...Terrific post! By the way I staring reading Hurst as you suggested, absolutely fascinating, my sincerest gratitude.<br /><br />Question: it appears your 30 years cycle bottoms in 82 and then bottoms again in 2014, shouldn't it have bottoms in 84 or is this an example of variation in period length?<br /><br />-vVictoryhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05302781562606354091noreply@blogger.com